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Wednesday 9 May 2012

How Will the Final Relegation Spot be Decided?

Every possible scenario for Sunday's relegation showdown and their associated probabilities of actually occurring.


Scenarios Whereby QPR Avoid the Drop.

Points
Gained by QPR.
Points
Gained by Bolton.
Probability
for this Scenario.
Seasonal
QPR Points Total.
Seasonal
Bolton Points Total.
3 3 0.02 40 38
3 1 0.01 40 36
3 0 0.02 40 35
1 3 0.03 38 38
1 1 0.03 38 36
1 0 0.04 38 35
0 1 0.23 37 36
0 0 0.36 37 35
Cumulative Probability. 0.74


Scenario Whereby Bolton Avoid the Drop.

Points Gained by QPR. Points Gained by Bolton. Probability
for this Scenario.
Seasonal QPR Points Total. Seasonal Bolton Points Total.
0 3 0.26 37 38
Cumulative Probability. 0.26

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